原标题:俄2035年前日产石油或将突破1200万桶 来源:中国石油化工集团公司版权所有
中国石化新闻网讯 据全球石油新闻2019年12月17日莫斯科报道,俄罗斯第2大石油生产商卢克石油公司(Lukoil)预测,如果全球能源需求显著增加,俄罗斯的原油和凝析油年产量2035年前将超过6亿吨或大约1200万桶/天。
卢克石油公司在周二发布的一份关于全球液态烃市场到2035年主要趋势的报告中称,俄罗斯可能主要通过提高原油采收率和开发致密油储量来提高产量。
卢克石油公司为俄罗斯2035年之前石油行业的发展建立了三种情景模型。如果在能源转型方面取得进展,卢克石油公司估计俄罗斯届时原油和凝析油年产量可能降至略高于5亿吨。与此同时,卢克石油公司表示,积极的气候政策将使俄罗斯原油和凝析油年产量降至4亿吨以下。
俄罗斯今年的石油年产量预计约为5.6亿吨,相当于每天1125万桶。
李峻 编译自 全球石油新闻
原文如下:
Russian oil output could rise to over 12 mil b/d by 2035: Lukoil
Russian oil producer Lukoil forecasts Russian crude and condensate production could rise to over 600 million mt/year, or around 12 million b/d, by 2035 if there is a significant increase in global access to energy.
Russia could increase output primarily through higher oil recovery rates and development of tight oil reserves, the company said in a report on major trends in the global liquid hydrocarbon market to 2035 released Tuesday.
The company modeled three scenarios for the sector s development up to 2035. If progress were to be made on the energy transition, the company estimates crude and condensate output could fall to just above 500 million mt/year. Meanwhile introduction of aggressive climate policies would see production drop below 400 million mt/year, the company said.
Russian oil production in 2019 is expected to be around 560 million mt, equivalent to 11.25 million b/d.
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